Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.20
assuming max odds 5.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gardner-Webb Runnin Bulldogs (Local): 81.05%; Eastern Illinois Panthers (Visit): 18.95%. For Eastern Illinois Panthers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.28. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.10%.
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -6.79%E -5.90%K -45.26%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +6.10%E +1.09%K +1.33%G +0.081% | 4.8% | 2026-10-10 19:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -6.79%E -5.90%K -45.26%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +6.10%E +1.09%K +1.33%G +0.081% | 4.8% | 2026-10-10 19:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.79%E -5.90%K -45.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.21%E +0.765%K +0.935%G +0.039% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 19:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -9.22%E -8.23%K -76.83%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -0.531%E -0.101%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-10 15:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.17%E -4.42%K -30.40%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.37%E -0.661%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 17:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.36%E -3.69%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.16%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 16:38 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.36%E -3.69%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -8.11%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 19:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.74%E -2.28%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -10.00%E -2.11%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-10 17:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.86%EV -3.55%E -2.98%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.14%EV -10.57%E -2.24%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 17:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.