Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.29
assuming max odds 3.90
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Furman Paladins (Local): 74.61%; Samford Bulldogs (Visit): 25.39%. For Samford Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.94. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.90, with an expected value of -0.989%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-23 14:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-24 15:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.78%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV -7.84%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-24 14:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.50%E -3.51%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-23 14:16 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.50%E -3.51%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-23 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.50%E -3.51%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-23 14:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.50%E -3.51%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-24 13:13 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.50%E -3.51%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -7.34%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-24 17:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.24%E -4.13%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -2.26%E -0.587%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-24 12:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.99%E -4.75%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.989%E -0.254%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-24 11:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.