Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fordham Rams v Villanova Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 19:31 UTC

Final: Fordham Rams 17–38 Villanova Wildcats

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

27%

73%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fordham Rams (Local)

Prediction 27.21%3.68fair odd

EV +0.677%

Edge +0.183%

Kelly +0.251%

Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

25.70%26.97%27.08%27.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.403.503.503.7029.41%28.56%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Villanova Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 72.79%1.37fair odd

EV -4.65%

Edge -3.55%

Kelly -14.98%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

72.48%73.03%72.92%74.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.281.301.301.3178.13%76.92%76.92%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fordham Rams (Local): 27.21%; Villanova Wildcats (Visit): 72.79%. For Fordham Rams (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.677%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.677%E +0.183%K +0.251%G +0.002%	1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.83%E -5.33%K -24.39%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-17 18:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.65%E -3.55%K -14.98%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-10-17 17:35
BetRivers🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-10-17 17:35
Bally Bet🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-10-17 17:35
betPARX🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-10-17 17:35
Caesars🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-10-17 17:37
DraftKings🎯	3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -5.85%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -4.65%E -3.55%K -14.98%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-17 17:45
Fliff🎯	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.65%E -3.55%K -14.98%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-17 19:05
theScore Bet🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.10%E -4.73%K -21.04%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-10-17 17:45

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.