Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fordham Rams v Stony Brook Seawolves

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 17:01 UTC

Final: Fordham Rams 16–31 Stony Brook Seawolves

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fordham Rams (Local)

Prediction 27.06%3.70fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -0.718%
Kelly -0.994%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.38%27.81%27.14%31.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.493.553.6033.33%28.67%28.17%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stony Brook Seawolves (Visit)

Prediction 72.94%1.37fair odd
EV -0.801%
Edge -0.589%
Kelly -2.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.81%72.19%72.86%73.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.311.301.3677.52%76.53%76.92%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fordham Rams (Local): 27.06%; Stony Brook Seawolves (Visit): 72.94%. For Stony Brook Seawolves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.37. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.36, with an expected value of -0.801%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.59%E -0.718%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.45%E -3.40%K -14.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-26 14:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.59%E -0.718%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.91%E -4.58%K -20.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 14:09
BetRivers🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.94%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.18%E -3.98%K -17.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 14:40
betPARX🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.94%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.18%E -3.98%K -17.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 14:40
Bally Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.94%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.18%E -3.98%K -17.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 14:40
Fliff🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.94%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.91%E -4.58%K -20.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-26 17:00
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.29%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.45%E -3.40%K -14.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-26 14:10
DraftKings🎯3.49I 28.65%NM 27.14%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.86%EV -5.18%E -3.98%K -17.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-26 14:25
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -18.82%E -6.27%K -9.41%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -0.801%E -0.589%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-26 17:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.