Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida A&M Rattlers v Tennessee State Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 23:01 UTC

Final: Florida A&M Rattlers 26–29 Tennessee State Tigers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

56%

44%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida A&M Rattlers (Local)

Prediction 56.35%1.77fair odd

EV -3.63%

Edge -2.13%

Kelly -5.12%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

55.12%56.33%56.33%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.651.681.681.7160.61%59.37%59.52%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tennessee State Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 43.65%2.29fair odd

EV -1.80%

Edge -0.799%

Kelly -1.44%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

42.53%43.67%43.67%44.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.102.202.232.2547.62%45.45%44.84%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida A&M Rattlers (Local): 56.35%; Tennessee State Tigers (Visit): 43.65%. For Tennessee State Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.25, with an expected value of -1.80%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.63%E -2.13%K -5.12%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.16%E -2.87%K -5.36%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-19 21:04
theScore Bet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.63%E -2.13%K -5.12%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.34%E -3.97%K -7.59%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-19 19:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.76%E -2.82%K -6.90%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.80%E -0.799%K -1.44%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-09-19 21:04
FanDuel🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.76%E -2.82%K -6.90%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.85%E -2.23%K -4.11%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-19 18:55
BetRivers🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.32%E -3.17%K -7.83%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.67%E -1.20%K -2.17%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-19 22:09
Bally Bet🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.32%E -3.17%K -7.83%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.67%E -1.20%K -2.17%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-19 22:09
betPARX🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.32%E -3.17%K -7.83%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.67%E -1.20%K -2.17%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-19 22:09
Fliff🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.89%E -3.53%K -8.79%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.98%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-19 22:09
DraftKings🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.02%E -4.25%K -10.79%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -2.67%E -1.20%K -2.17%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-19 20:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.