Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elon Phoenix v Sacred Heart Pioneers

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 22:01 UTC

Final: Elon Phoenix 24–21 Sacred Heart Pioneers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elon Phoenix (Local)

Prediction 78.69%1.27fair odd
EV -4.00%
Edge -3.28%
Kelly -18.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.86%78.74%78.29%79.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.211.211.2284.75%82.95%82.64%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sacred Heart Pioneers (Visit)

Prediction 21.31%4.69fair odd
EV +1.24%
Edge +0.262%
Kelly +0.332%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.17%21.26%21.71%22.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.504.404.7523.81%22.20%22.73%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elon Phoenix (Local): 78.69%; Sacred Heart Pioneers (Visit): 21.31%. For Sacred Heart Pioneers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.69. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.24%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +1.24%E +0.262%K +0.332%G +0.004%3.7%2026-09-19 21:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.58%E -4.65%K -27.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +1.24%E +0.262%K +0.332%G +0.004%4.4%2026-09-19 21:54
FanDuel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.36%E -5.35%K -33.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.178%E +0.038%K +0.048%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 21:50
Fliff🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -6.36%E -5.35%K -33.50%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -0.888%E -0.191%K -0.243%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-19 21:54
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.00%E -3.28%K -18.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.22%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 21:54
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.00%E -3.28%K -18.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.22%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 21:54
Bally Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.00%E -3.28%K -18.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.22%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 21:54
DraftKings🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.86%EV -4.00%E -3.28%K -18.20%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.14%EV -8.56%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 21:50
theScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.15%E -6.06%K -39.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.48%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 21:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.