Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eastern Washington Eagles v Northern Iowa Panthers

Kickoff: 2026-09-05 23:01 UTC

Final: Eastern Washington Eagles 34–24 Northern Iowa Panthers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eastern Washington Eagles (Local)

Prediction 69.51%1.44fair odd
EV -5.47%
Edge -4.02%
Kelly -15.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.81%69.51%69.51%69.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.361.361.3673.53%73.53%73.53%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Northern Iowa Panthers (Visit)

Prediction 30.49%3.28fair odd
EV -3.64%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -1.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.09%30.49%30.49%31.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.093.103.1633.33%32.36%32.26%31.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Eastern Washington Eagles (Local): 69.51%; Northern Iowa Panthers (Visit): 30.49%. For Northern Iowa Panthers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.28. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.16, with an expected value of -3.64%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
ReBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -3.64%E -1.15%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 23:05
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 18:35
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 23:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 16:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.