Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eastern Kentucky Colonels v West Georgia Wolves

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 22:01 UTC

Final: Eastern Kentucky Colonels 30–20 West Georgia Wolves

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eastern Kentucky Colonels (Local)

Prediction 67.22%1.49fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -2.22%
Kelly -7.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.36%67.46%67.13%69.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.401.391.4472.46%71.38%71.94%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

West Georgia Wolves (Visit)

Prediction 32.78%3.05fair odd
EV +4.89%
Edge +1.53%
Kelly +2.22%
Growth +0.109%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.13%32.54%32.87%33.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.833.002.953.2035.34%33.38%33.90%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Eastern Kentucky Colonels (Local): 67.22%; West Georgia Wolves (Visit): 32.78%. For West Georgia Wolves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.05. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.89%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -7.24%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV +4.89%E +1.53%K +2.22%G +0.109%3.7%2026-10-10 18:20
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -7.24%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +3.26%E +1.03%K +1.51%G +0.049%4.2%2026-10-10 18:20
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -7.24%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +3.26%E +1.03%K +1.51%G +0.049%4.2%2026-10-10 18:19
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -7.24%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +3.26%E +1.03%K +1.51%G +0.049%4.2%2026-10-10 18:20
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.66%E -0.554%K -0.830%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 19:05
Fliff🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.22%E -3.70%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 21:45
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.24%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 21:50
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -6.91%E -2.43%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-10 21:45
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -6.91%E -2.43%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 20:45
Caesars🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -7.23%E -2.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 21:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.