Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eastern Kentucky Colonels v North Alabama Lions

2026-10-03 22:01 UTC — NCAAF FCS

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

54%

46%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eastern Kentucky Colonels (Local)

Prediction 54.21%1.84fair odd

EV -5.67%

Edge -3.26%

Kelly -7.67%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

54.21%54.21%54.21%54.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.741.741.741.7457.47%57.47%57.47%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Alabama Lions (Visit)

Prediction 45.79%2.18fair odd

EV -5.22%

Edge -2.52%

Kelly -4.87%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

45.67%45.79%45.79%45.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.062.062.062.0748.54%48.43%48.43%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Eastern Kentucky Colonels (Local): 54.21%; North Alabama Lions (Visit): 45.79%. For North Alabama Lions (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.07, with an expected value of -5.22%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
ReBet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -5.67%E -3.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -5.22%E -2.52%K -4.87%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-30 04:10
FanDuel🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.67%E -3.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -5.67%E -2.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-30 04:05

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.