Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eastern Illinois Panthers v Indiana State Sycamores

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 23:01 UTC

Final: Eastern Illinois Panthers 35–42 Indiana State Sycamores

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

42%

58%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eastern Illinois Panthers (Local)

Prediction 41.96%2.38fair odd

EV +2.80%

Edge +1.14%

Kelly +1.93%

Growth +0.054%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

39.05%41.58%41.92%42.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.202.282.282.4545.45%43.84%43.86%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Indiana State Sycamores (Visit)

Prediction 58.04%1.72fair odd

EV -3.07%

Edge -1.84%

Kelly -4.59%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

57.14%58.42%58.08%60.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.571.641.651.6763.69%60.98%60.61%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Eastern Illinois Panthers (Local): 41.96%; Indiana State Sycamores (Visit): 58.04%. For Eastern Illinois Panthers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.38. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.80%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +2.80%E +1.14%K +1.93%G +0.054%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -8.88%E -5.66%K -15.58%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-12 22:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.49%E -1.52%K -2.68%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.07%E -1.84%K -4.59%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-09-12 22:00
Caesars🎯	2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.91%E -1.71%K -3.03%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.40%E -3.31%K -8.57%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-12 21:59
BetRivers🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.33%E -1.90%K -3.38%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.24%E -2.57%K -6.52%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-12 20:40
Bally Bet🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.33%E -1.90%K -3.38%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.24%E -2.57%K -6.52%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-12 20:40
betPARX🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.33%E -1.90%K -3.38%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.24%E -2.57%K -6.52%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-12 20:40
theScore Bet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.59%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.98%E -3.69%K -9.64%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-12 21:59
FanDuel🎯	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -6.01%E -2.68%K -4.84%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -3.65%E -2.20%K -5.54%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-12 21:59
DraftKings🎯	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -6.01%E -2.68%K -4.84%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.24%E -2.57%K -6.52%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-12 20:30
Fliff🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.69%E -3.49%K -6.41%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.24%E -2.57%K -6.52%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-12 22:25

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.