Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

East Tennessee State Buccaneers v Chattanooga Mocs

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 19:31 UTC

Final: East Tennessee State Buccaneers 14–3 Chattanooga Mocs

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

57%

43%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

East Tennessee State Buccaneers (Local)

Prediction 57.31%1.74fair odd

EV -3.14%

Edge -1.86%

Kelly -4.55%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

56.56%57.60%57.07%59.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.601.641.621.6962.50%61.06%61.73%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chattanooga Mocs (Visit)

Prediction 42.69%2.34fair odd

EV +0.310%

Edge +0.132%

Kelly +0.230%

Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

40.51%42.40%42.93%43.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.192.262.252.3545.66%44.20%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: East Tennessee State Buccaneers (Local): 57.31%; Chattanooga Mocs (Visit): 42.69%. For Chattanooga Mocs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.34. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.310%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
betPARX🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.30%E -5.19%K -13.83%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +0.310%E +0.132%K +0.230%G +0.001%	5.1%	2026-10-03 15:25
BetRivers🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.30%E -5.19%K -13.83%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +0.310%E +0.132%K +0.230%G +0.001%	5.1%	2026-10-03 15:24
Bally Bet🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.30%E -5.19%K -13.83%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +0.310%E +0.132%K +0.230%G +0.001%	5.1%	2026-10-03 15:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.15%E -4.41%K -11.53%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-10-03 15:00
theScore Bet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.15%E -4.41%K -11.53%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-10-02 15:50
FanDuel🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.28%E -2.57%K -6.39%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.24%E -2.36%K -4.29%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-10-03 09:35
BetMGM🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.14%E -1.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-10-03 12:25
Fliff🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.28%E -2.57%K -6.39%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-03 18:15
DraftKings🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.74%EV -4.28%E -2.57%K -6.39%G +0.000%	2.19I 45.66%NM 43.26%EV -6.52%E -2.98%K -5.48%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-10-02 16:04

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.