Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Duquesne Dukes v Wagner Seahawks

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 16:01 UTC

Final: Duquesne Dukes 52–21 Wagner Seahawks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

80%

20%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Duquesne Dukes (Local)

Prediction 80.33%1.24fair odd

EV -3.61%

Edge -3.01%

Kelly -18.04%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

79.31%80.51%80.31%82.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.151.171.181.2086.96%85.14%84.75%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wagner Seahawks (Visit)

Prediction 19.67%5.08fair odd

EV +8.20%

Edge +1.49%

Kelly +1.82%

Growth +0.150%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

17.29%19.49%19.69%20.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.605.025.005.5021.74%19.92%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Duquesne Dukes (Local): 80.33%; Wagner Seahawks (Visit): 19.67%. For Wagner Seahawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.08. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.20%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.62%E -6.63%K -50.83%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +8.20%E +1.49%K +1.82%G +0.150%	5.1%	2026-10-24 12:50
BetRivers🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -7.62%E -6.63%K -50.83%G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +6.24%E +1.15%K +1.42%G +0.088%	5.5%	2026-10-24 14:04
betPARX🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -7.62%E -6.63%K -50.83%G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +6.24%E +1.15%K +1.42%G +0.088%	5.5%	2026-10-24 14:05
Bally Bet🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -7.62%E -6.63%K -50.83%G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +6.24%E +1.15%K +1.42%G +0.088%	5.5%	2026-10-24 14:04
BetMGM🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.61%E -3.01%K -18.04%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -1.63%E -0.327%K -0.408%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-10-24 15:40
theScore Bet🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.02%E -5.14%K -35.40%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.63%E -0.327%K -0.408%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-10-24 16:00
Fliff🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.41%E -3.71%K -23.22%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.55%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-24 15:40
Caesars🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.41%E -3.71%K -23.22%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.55%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-24 15:38
ReBet🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.21%E -4.42%K -28.97%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.55%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-24 16:00
DraftKings🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 79.66%EV -4.41%E -3.71%K -23.22%G +0.000%	4.66I 21.46%NM 20.34%EV -8.32%E -1.79%K -2.27%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-10-24 15:35
FanDuel🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.61%E -3.01%K -18.04%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -9.50%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-24 14:05

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.