The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Drake Bulldogs v Dayton Flyers

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 17:01 UTC

Final: Drake Bulldogs 30–22 Dayton Flyers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Drake Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 43.15%2.32fair odd
EV -0.752%
Edge -0.327%
Kelly -0.578%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.18%43.09%43.15%43.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.232.252.3045.87%44.74%44.44%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dayton Flyers (Visit)

Prediction 56.85%1.76fair odd
EV -3.93%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -5.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.33%56.91%56.85%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.661.651.6962.11%60.31%60.61%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Drake Bulldogs (Local): 43.15%; Dayton Flyers (Visit): 56.85%. For Drake Bulldogs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.30, with an expected value of -0.752%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.752%E -0.327%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.47%E -5.26%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-03 16:15
ReBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -2.05%E -0.901%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-03 16:31
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-03 15:30
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-03 15:29
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-03 15:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-03 15:28
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.93%E -2.32%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-03 16:59
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 15:25
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-03 15:55
FanDuel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.93%E -2.72%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.93%E -2.32%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-03 15:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.