Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dayton Flyers v San Diego Toreros

2026-10-24 16:01 UTC — NCAAF FCS

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

63%

37%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dayton Flyers (Local)

Prediction 63.39%1.58fair odd

EV -5.55%

Edge -3.72%

Kelly -11.32%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

63.39%63.39%63.39%63.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.421.461.461.4970.42%68.73%68.73%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Diego Toreros (Visit)

Prediction 36.61%2.73fair odd

EV -5.55%

Edge -2.15%

Kelly -3.51%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

36.04%36.61%36.61%36.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.522.552.552.5839.68%39.22%39.22%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Dayton Flyers (Local): 63.39%; San Diego Toreros (Visit): 36.61%. For Dayton Flyers (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.58. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.49, with an expected value of -5.55%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.39%EV -5.55%E -3.72%K -11.32%G +0.000%	2.58I 38.76%NM 36.61%EV -5.55%E -2.15%K -3.51%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-21 17:25
ReBet🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 63.96%EV -9.99%E -7.03%K -23.77%G +0.000%	2.52I 39.68%NM 36.04%EV -7.74%E -3.07%K -5.10%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-10-21 18:49

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.