Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Davidson Wildcats v VMI Keydets

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 17:01 UTC

Final: Davidson Wildcats 27–24 VMI Keydets

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

38%

62%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Davidson Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 38.43%2.60fair odd

EV -3.16%

Edge -1.25%

Kelly -2.08%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

37.50%38.99%38.12%42.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.252.422.402.5244.44%41.25%41.67%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

VMI Keydets (Visit)

Prediction 61.57%1.62fair odd

EV +0.975%

Edge +0.595%

Kelly +1.52%

Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 1.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

57.84%61.01%61.88%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.501.561.571.6466.67%64.06%63.69%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Davidson Wildcats (Local): 38.43%; VMI Keydets (Visit): 61.57%. For VMI Keydets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.62. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.64, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.975%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -13.53%E -6.01%K -10.83%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV +0.975%E +0.595%K +1.52%G +0.015%	5.4%	2026-09-19 14:02
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.33%E -2.12%K -5.85%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-19 14:02
betPARX🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.33%E -2.12%K -5.85%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-19 16:29
Bally Bet🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.33%E -2.12%K -5.85%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-19 16:28
BetRivers🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.33%E -2.12%K -5.85%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-19 16:29
Fliff🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.33%E -2.12%K -5.85%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-19 16:54
BetMGM🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.18%E -3.36%K -9.60%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-19 15:45
FanDuel🎯	2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -3.16%E -1.25%K -2.08%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -6.41%E -4.22%K -12.33%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-09-19 14:02
theScore Bet🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.64%E -5.10%K -15.29%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-09-19 16:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.