The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Davidson Wildcats v Morehead State Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 17:01 UTC

Final: Davidson Wildcats 34–31 Morehead State Eagles

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Davidson Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 50.10%2.00fair odd
EV -3.31%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -3.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.08%50.25%50.13%52.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.891.881.9355.56%52.97%53.05%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Morehead State Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 49.90%2.00fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -2.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.00%49.75%49.87%50.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.861.901.911.9553.76%52.49%52.36%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Davidson Wildcats (Local): 50.10%; Morehead State Eagles (Visit): 49.90%. For Morehead State Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.00. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.95, with an expected value of -2.69%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.31%E -1.71%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.69%E -2.46%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-17 16:05
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08%EV -3.31%E -1.71%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.92%EV -7.19%E -3.86%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-17 13:55
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.46%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-17 07:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.46%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-17 13:35
Caesars🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.31%E -2.81%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.69%E -2.46%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 13:33
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.81%E -3.09%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.69%E -2.46%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-17 13:34
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.81%E -3.09%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.69%E -2.46%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-17 13:35
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.81%E -3.09%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.69%E -2.46%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-17 13:34
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.38%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.69%E -3.58%K -7.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 16:59
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.82%E -5.46%K -12.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -2.69%E -1.38%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 16:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.