Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Davidson Wildcats v Morehead State Eagles

2026-10-17 17:01 UTC — NCAAF FCS

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

54%

46%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Davidson Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 54.21%1.84fair odd

EV -5.67%

Edge -3.26%

Kelly -7.67%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

54.21%54.21%54.21%54.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.741.741.741.7457.47%57.47%57.47%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Morehead State Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 45.79%2.18fair odd

EV -5.67%

Edge -2.75%

Kelly -5.35%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

45.79%45.79%45.79%45.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.062.062.062.0648.54%48.54%48.54%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Davidson Wildcats (Local): 54.21%; Morehead State Eagles (Visit): 45.79%. For Morehead State Eagles (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.06, with an expected value of -5.67%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.67%E -3.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -5.67%E -2.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-10-14 17:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.