Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Davidson Wildcats v Drake Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 17:01 UTC

Final: Davidson Wildcats 32–51 Drake Bulldogs

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Davidson Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 22.39%4.47fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -0.709%
Kelly -0.922%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.93%22.38%22.26%22.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.164.254.254.3324.04%23.54%23.53%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Drake Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 77.61%1.29fair odd
EV -3.76%
Edge -3.03%
Kelly -15.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.18%77.62%77.74%78.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.221.231.2484.75%81.67%81.30%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Davidson Wildcats (Local): 22.39%; Drake Bulldogs (Visit): 77.61%. For Davidson Wildcats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.47. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.33, with an expected value of -3.07%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 22.26%EV -3.07%E -0.709%K -0.922%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.74%EV -3.76%E -3.03%K -15.66%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-26 14:44
BetRivers🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -3.74%E -0.870%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.53%E -3.69%K -19.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 14:44
betPARX🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -3.74%E -0.870%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.53%E -3.69%K -19.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 14:45
Bally Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -3.74%E -0.870%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.53%E -3.69%K -19.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 14:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.86%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.31%E -4.35%K -24.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-26 15:40
FanDuel🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.98%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.53%E -3.69%K -19.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 12:40
Fliff🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.98%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.53%E -3.69%K -19.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 14:35
theScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -5.98%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -8.41%E -7.13%K -46.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-26 15:39
DraftKings🎯4.16I 24.04%NM 22.82%EV -6.88%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.18%EV -4.53%E -3.69%K -19.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 14:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.