Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dartmouth Big Green v Pennsylvania Quakers

2026-10-03 17:31 UTC — NCAAF FCS

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

72%

28%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dartmouth Big Green (Local)

Prediction 72.34%1.38fair odd

EV -5.96%

Edge -4.58%

Kelly -19.86%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

72.34%72.34%72.34%73.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.281.291.291.3078.13%77.52%77.52%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pennsylvania Quakers (Visit)

Prediction 27.66%3.62fair odd

EV -0.426%

Edge -0.118%

Kelly -0.164%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

26.23%27.66%27.66%27.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.403.503.503.6029.41%28.57%28.57%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Dartmouth Big Green (Local): 72.34%; Pennsylvania Quakers (Visit): 27.66%. For Pennsylvania Quakers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.62. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.60, with an expected value of -0.426%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.96%E -4.58%K -19.86%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.96%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-30 02:10
ReBet🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.40%E -5.78%K -26.44%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -0.426%E -0.118%K -0.164%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-30 03:29

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.