Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dartmouth Big Green v Monmouth Hawks

2026-09-26 17:00 UTC — NCAAF FCS

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

57%

43%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dartmouth Big Green (Local)

Prediction 56.57%1.77fair odd

EV -3.27%

Edge -1.91%

Kelly -4.60%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

55.99%56.57%56.57%57.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.681.691.691.7159.52%59.23%59.35%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Monmouth Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 43.43%2.30fair odd

EV -3.15%

Edge -1.41%

Kelly -2.56%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

42.97%43.43%43.43%44.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.152.202.212.2346.51%45.45%45.15%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Dartmouth Big Green (Local): 56.57%; Monmouth Hawks (Visit): 43.43%. For Monmouth Hawks (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.30. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.23, with an expected value of -3.15%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.27%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.45%E -2.02%K -3.71%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-25 21:15
DraftKings🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.40%E -2.60%K -6.38%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -6.19%E -2.86%K -5.33%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-09-25 21:45
Fliff🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.40%E -2.60%K -6.38%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-25 23:55
BetRivers🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.96%E -2.96%K -7.30%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.15%E -1.41%K -2.56%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-25 21:15
betPARX🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.96%E -2.96%K -7.30%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.15%E -1.41%K -2.56%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-25 21:15
Bally Bet🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.96%E -2.96%K -7.30%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.15%E -1.41%K -2.56%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-25 21:15

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.