Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Columbia Lions v Princeton Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 16:00 UTC

Final: Columbia Lions 7–35 Princeton Tigers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

50%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Columbia Lions (Local)

Prediction 49.80%2.01fair odd

EV -0.392%

Edge -0.196%

Kelly -0.392%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

46.95%49.63%49.80%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.821.881.872.0054.95%53.19%53.48%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Princeton Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 50.20%1.99fair odd

EV +0.392%

Edge +0.196%

Kelly +0.392%

Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

47.78%50.37%50.20%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.771.921.922.0056.50%51.99%52.08%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Columbia Lions (Local): 49.80%; Princeton Tigers (Visit): 50.20%. For Princeton Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.99. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.392%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.86%E -4.84%K -10.67%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +0.392%E +0.196%K +0.392%G +0.002%	4.6%	2026-10-03 13:05
Bally Bet🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -9.36%E -5.14%K -11.41%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -1.11%E -0.565%K -1.15%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-10-03 13:09
BetRivers🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -9.36%E -5.14%K -11.41%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -1.11%E -0.565%K -1.15%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-10-03 13:10
betPARX🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -9.36%E -5.14%K -11.41%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -1.11%E -0.565%K -1.15%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-10-03 13:09
ReBet🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.88%E -2.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.62%E -1.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-10-03 15:10
BetMGM🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.88%E -2.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-10-03 15:35
Fliff🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.87%E -3.67%K -7.89%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-03 12:10
DraftKings🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 49.87%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -5.13%E -2.71%K -5.76%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-10-02 15:45
theScore Bet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -0.392%E -0.196%K -0.392%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -11.15%E -6.30%K -14.48%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-10-03 12:54

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.