Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colgate Raiders v Holy Cross Crusaders

Kickoff: 2026-09-05 17:01 UTC

Final: Colgate Raiders 35–10 Holy Cross Crusaders

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

63%

37%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colgate Raiders (Local)

Prediction 62.53%1.60fair odd

EV -5.58%

Edge -3.69%

Kelly -10.94%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

62.34%62.53%62.53%66.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.431.471.481.5169.93%67.91%67.80%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Holy Cross Crusaders (Visit)

Prediction 37.47%2.67fair odd

EV +5.66%

Edge +2.01%

Kelly +3.11%

Growth +0.176%

assuming max odds 2.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

33.80%37.47%37.47%37.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.502.662.662.8240.00%37.59%37.59%35.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colgate Raiders (Local): 62.53%; Holy Cross Crusaders (Visit): 37.47%. For Holy Cross Crusaders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.67. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.82, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.66%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
ReBet🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -9.96%E -6.91%K -22.63%G +0.000%	2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV +5.66%E +2.01%K +3.11%G +0.176%	4.9%	2026-09-03 17:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -10.58%E -7.40%K -24.61%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +4.91%E +1.75%K +2.73%G +0.134%	5.6%	2026-09-01 15:44
FanDuel🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -5.58%E -3.69%K -10.94%G +0.000%	2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -5.58%E -2.21%K -3.67%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-01 13:15
Fliff🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.58%E -3.69%K -10.94%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.33%E -2.53%K -4.22%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-03 23:04

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.