The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Citadel Bulldogs v Chattanooga Mocs

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 18:01 UTC

Final: Citadel Bulldogs 8–27 Chattanooga Mocs

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Citadel Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 24.95%4.01fair odd
EV +6.06%
Edge +1.43%
Kelly +1.86%
Growth +0.113%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.73%24.83%25.10%26.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.573.903.804.2528.01%25.63%26.32%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chattanooga Mocs (Visit)

Prediction 75.05%1.33fair odd
EV -3.19%
Edge -2.47%
Kelly -11.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.46%75.17%74.90%77.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.261.261.2980.65%79.09%79.37%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Citadel Bulldogs (Local): 24.95%; Chattanooga Mocs (Visit): 75.05%. For Citadel Bulldogs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.01. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.06%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV +6.06%E +1.43%K +1.86%G +0.113%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -6.19%E -4.95%K -24.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-26 15:35
betPARX🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV +6.06%E +1.43%K +1.86%G +0.113%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -6.19%E -4.95%K -24.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-26 15:35
Bally Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV +6.06%E +1.43%K +1.86%G +0.113%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -6.19%E -4.95%K -24.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-26 15:35
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.68%E -0.686%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.44%E -4.32%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 17:35
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.17%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.19%E -2.47%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-26 17:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.42%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.69%E -3.69%K -17.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 17:44
theScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -7.67%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -6.94%E -5.60%K -28.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-26 17:59
Fliff🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -8.92%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.94%E -3.08%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-26 18:00
DraftKings🎯3.57I 28.01%NM 26.54%EV -10.91%E -3.06%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.46%EV -3.19%E -2.47%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-26 16:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.