Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Citadel Bulldogs v Charleston Southern Buccaneers

2026-09-12 22:01 UTC — NCAAF FCS

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

48%

52%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Citadel Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 47.62%2.10fair odd

EV -4.76%

Edge -2.38%

Kelly -4.76%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

47.62%47.62%47.62%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.981.991.982.0050.51%50.34%50.51%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Charleston Southern Buccaneers (Visit)

Prediction 52.38%1.91fair odd

EV -4.14%

Edge -2.26%

Kelly -4.99%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

52.22%52.38%52.38%52.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.801.811.801.8355.56%55.25%55.56%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Citadel Bulldogs (Local): 47.62%; Charleston Southern Buccaneers (Visit): 52.38%. For Charleston Southern Buccaneers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.91. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.83, with an expected value of -4.14%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.76%E -2.38%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.14%E -2.26%K -4.99%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-09 03:04
FanDuel🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.71%E -2.89%K -5.83%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.71%E -3.17%K -7.14%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-09 00:29
ReBet🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.71%E -2.89%K -5.83%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.71%E -3.17%K -7.14%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-09 01:09

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.