Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chattanooga Mocs v Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-09-05 22:01 UTC

Final: Chattanooga Mocs 9–24 Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chattanooga Mocs (Local)

Prediction 19.28%5.19fair odd
EV -3.62%
Edge -0.725%
Kelly -0.906%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.96%19.28%19.28%19.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.904.954.955.0020.41%20.20%20.20%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 80.72%1.24fair odd
EV -4.74%
Edge -4.02%
Kelly -26.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.59%80.72%80.72%81.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.171.171.1885.47%85.11%85.11%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chattanooga Mocs (Local): 19.28%; Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles (Visit): 80.72%. For Chattanooga Mocs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.19. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.00, with an expected value of -3.62%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.62%E -0.725%K -0.906%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.74%E -4.02%K -26.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 18:54
ReBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.62%E -0.725%K -0.906%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.55%E -4.75%K -32.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 22:05
Fliff🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.55%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.74%E -4.02%K -26.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 23:04
FanDuel🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -5.55%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.55%E -4.75%K -32.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 18:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.