The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Chattanooga Mocs v Samford Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 17:01 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chattanooga Mocs (Local)

Prediction 78.20%1.28fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -9.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.64%78.34%78.35%80.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.201.181.2585.47%83.33%84.75%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Samford Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 21.80%4.59fair odd
EV +9.00%
Edge +1.80%
Kelly +2.25%
Growth +0.203%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.09%21.66%21.65%23.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.494.405.0025.32%22.25%22.73%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chattanooga Mocs (Local): 78.20%; Samford Bulldogs (Visit): 21.80%. For Samford Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.59. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -7.72%E -6.55%K -42.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +9.00%E +1.80%K +2.25%G +0.203%4.7%2026-10-10 14:00
BetRivers🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -7.72%E -6.55%K -42.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +6.82%E +1.39%K +1.75%G +0.119%5.2%2026-10-10 14:01
betPARX🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -7.72%E -6.55%K -42.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +6.82%E +1.39%K +1.75%G +0.119%5.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Bally Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -7.72%E -6.55%K -42.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +6.82%E +1.39%K +1.75%G +0.119%5.2%2026-10-10 14:00
FanDuel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.38%E -4.45%K -25.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.90%E -0.422%K -0.542%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 14:50
theScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.51%E -7.27%K -50.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -4.08%E -0.927%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Fliff🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.89%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.17%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 16:40
Caesars🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.26%E -1.46%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:29
DraftKings🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.09%EV -3.81%E -3.10%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.91%EV -9.75%E -2.35%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 14:25
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -2.25%E -1.80%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -10.62%E -2.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 16:25
ReBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.00%EV -7.72%E -6.55%K -42.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -13.89%E -3.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-10 14:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.