Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Central Connecticut Blue Devils v Wagner Seahawks

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 16:01 UTC

Final: Central Connecticut Blue Devils 45–14 Wagner Seahawks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Central Connecticut Blue Devils (Local)

Prediction 82.51%1.21fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -2.24%
Kelly -14.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.34%82.73%81.93%84.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.141.131.1890.91%87.87%88.50%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wagner Seahawks (Visit)

Prediction 17.49%5.72fair odd
EV +9.33%
Edge +1.49%
Kelly +1.78%
Growth +0.166%

assuming max odds 6.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.20%17.27%18.07%18.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.105.805.926.2519.61%17.24%16.88%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Central Connecticut Blue Devils (Local): 82.51%; Wagner Seahawks (Visit): 17.49%. For Wagner Seahawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.72. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.33%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -7.59%E -6.78%K -63.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +9.33%E +1.49%K +1.78%G +0.166%5.3%2026-10-03 15:09
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -7.59%E -6.78%K -63.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +9.33%E +1.49%K +1.78%G +0.166%5.3%2026-10-03 15:10
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -7.59%E -6.78%K -63.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +9.33%E +1.49%K +1.78%G +0.166%5.3%2026-10-03 15:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -7.59%E -6.78%K -63.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +9.33%E +1.49%K +1.78%G +0.166%5.3%2026-10-03 15:09
ReBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.44%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV +6.71%E +1.10%K +1.31%G +0.088%4.1%2026-10-03 15:40
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -9.24%E -8.40%K -92.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.584%E +0.101%K +0.123%G +0.001%8.3%2026-10-03 13:39
Fliff🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -5.12%E -4.45%K -34.11%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -2.91%E -0.525%K -0.641%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-03 15:10
DraftKings🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.93%EV -4.29%E -3.70%K -26.82%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.07%EV -7.99%E -1.52%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 13:50
BetMGM🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -2.64%E -2.24%K -14.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -8.16%E -1.55%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-03 13:39
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.47%E -2.96%K -20.39%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -10.79%E -2.12%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-03 14:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.