Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.20
assuming max odds 5.10
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Central Connecticut Blue Devils (Local): 80.44%; New Haven Chargers (Visit): 19.56%. For New Haven Chargers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.11. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.10, with an expected value of -0.225%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.02%EV -3.48%E -2.90%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 20.98%EV -11.57%E -2.56%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-24 15:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.28%E -3.60%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -2.18%E -0.436%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-24 15:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.28%E -3.60%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.07%E -1.49%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-24 14:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.28%E -3.60%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.07%E -1.49%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-24 14:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.28%E -3.60%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.07%E -1.49%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-24 14:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.28%E -3.60%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.07%E -1.49%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-24 14:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.28%E -3.60%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -7.07%E -1.49%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-24 15:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.28%E -3.60%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -8.05%E -1.71%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-24 15:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.89%E -5.03%K -34.64%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -0.225%E -0.044%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-24 14:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.89%E -5.03%K -34.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.18%E -0.436%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-24 15:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.69%E -5.77%K -41.84%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -6.09%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-24 15:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.