Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Campbell Fighting Camels v Western Carolina Catamounts

Kickoff: 2026-09-06 15:00 UTC

Final: Campbell Fighting Camels 28–19 Western Carolina Catamounts

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Campbell Fighting Camels (Local)

Prediction 38.14%2.62fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -0.924%
Kelly -1.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.25%38.13%38.14%39.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.492.502.5641.67%40.13%40.00%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Western Carolina Catamounts (Visit)

Prediction 61.86%1.62fair odd
EV -3.50%
Edge -2.24%
Kelly -6.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.00%61.87%61.86%62.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.541.541.5665.79%64.86%64.72%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Campbell Fighting Camels (Local): 38.14%; Western Carolina Catamounts (Visit): 61.86%. For Campbell Fighting Camels (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.56, with an expected value of -2.36%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -2.36%E -0.924%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -5.97%E -3.93%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 14:50
Caesars🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.75%E -1.08%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.97%E -3.93%K -11.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 14:08
ReBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.50%E -2.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 14:05
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.50%E -2.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 12:14
DraftKings🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -6.94%E -2.84%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -3.50%E -2.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 14:25
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.35%E -3.50%K -10.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 13:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.