Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cal Poly Mustangs v Utah Tech Trailblazers

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 21:01 UTC

Final: Cal Poly Mustangs 26–43 Utah Tech Trailblazers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

83%

17%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cal Poly Mustangs (Local)

Prediction 83.21%1.20fair odd

EV -2.64%

Edge -2.26%

Kelly -15.54%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

81.34%83.04%83.27%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.131.141.141.1788.50%87.49%87.72%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Utah Tech Trailblazers (Visit)

Prediction 16.79%5.96fair odd

EV +0.728%

Edge +0.121%

Kelly +0.146%

Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

15.97%16.96%16.73%18.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

5.105.695.816.0019.61%17.57%17.21%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cal Poly Mustangs (Local): 83.21%; Utah Tech Trailblazers (Visit): 16.79%. For Utah Tech Trailblazers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.96. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.728%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetRivers🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.14%E -4.51%K -36.70%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.728%E +0.121%K +0.146%G +0.001%	4.4%	2026-10-24 14:20
betPARX🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.14%E -4.51%K -36.70%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.728%E +0.121%K +0.146%G +0.001%	4.4%	2026-10-24 14:20
Bally Bet🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.14%E -4.51%K -36.70%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.728%E +0.121%K +0.146%G +0.001%	4.4%	2026-10-24 14:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.14%E -4.51%K -36.70%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.728%E +0.121%K +0.146%G +0.001%	4.4%	2026-10-24 14:20
DraftKings🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 83.86%EV -5.97%E -5.28%K -45.93%G +0.000%	5.87I 17.04%NM 16.14%EV -1.45%E -0.248%K -0.299%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-10-24 15:05
theScore Bet🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.97%E -5.28%K -45.93%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -3.47%E -0.603%K -0.730%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-24 16:14
BetMGM🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -2.64%E -2.26%K -15.54%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -7.67%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-10-24 16:20
Caesars🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.97%E -5.28%K -45.93%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.67%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-10-24 15:02
ReBet🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.14%E -4.51%K -36.70%G +0.000%	5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -12.70%E -2.44%K -3.02%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-10-24 20:55
FanDuel🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -2.64%E -2.26%K -15.54%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -14.38%E -2.82%K -3.51%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-24 15:05

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.