The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Butler Bulldogs v San Diego Toreros

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 17:01 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Butler Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 41.78%2.39fair odd
EV +3.60%
Edge +1.45%
Kelly +2.44%
Growth +0.088%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.77%41.37%41.48%42.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.332.312.4844.84%42.97%43.20%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Diego Toreros (Visit)

Prediction 58.22%1.72fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -4.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.40%58.63%58.52%61.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.611.611.6765.36%62.15%62.11%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Butler Bulldogs (Local): 41.78%; San Diego Toreros (Visit): 58.22%. For Butler Bulldogs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.48, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.60%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
ReBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV +3.60%E +1.45%K +2.44%G +0.088%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-10 16:28
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV +0.263%E +0.109%K +0.188%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -10.92%E -7.14%K -20.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 15:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.83%E -0.777%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.26%E -3.89%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-10 15:40
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.66%E -1.14%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.84%E -4.28%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 15:45
Bally Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.66%E -1.14%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.84%E -4.28%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 15:40
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.92%E -1.70%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.09%E -3.13%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 16:28
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.92%E -1.70%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.68%E -3.50%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 16:30
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.92%E -1.70%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.26%E -3.89%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 16:30
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.00%E -2.67%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.77%E -1.66%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 16:25
DraftKings🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.84%E -3.07%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.93%E -2.38%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 15:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.