The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Butler Bulldogs v Dayton Flyers

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 17:01 UTC

Final: Butler Bulldogs 9–19 Dayton Flyers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Butler Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 65.16%1.53fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -2.41%
Kelly -7.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.59%65.15%65.17%65.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.461.471.4870.42%68.31%68.03%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dayton Flyers (Visit)

Prediction 34.84%2.87fair odd
EV -4.19%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -2.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.47%34.85%34.83%35.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.722.702.7537.04%36.82%37.04%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Butler Bulldogs (Local): 65.16%; Dayton Flyers (Visit): 34.84%. For Butler Bulldogs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.53. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.48, with an expected value of -3.56%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.56%E -2.41%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.19%E -1.52%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-17 15:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.56%E -2.41%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.93%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-17 08:25
FanDuel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -4.21%E -2.87%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -5.24%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-17 16:45
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.21%E -2.87%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.93%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 08:25
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.21%E -2.87%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.93%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 08:20
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.21%E -2.87%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.93%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 08:24
Fliff🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.21%E -2.87%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.93%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 15:35
Caesars🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.87%E -3.33%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.19%E -1.52%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-17 13:49
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -5.52%E -3.80%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -4.54%E -1.66%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 16:10
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.47%E -5.26%K -17.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -5.93%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-17 15:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.