Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brown Bears v Harvard Crimson

Kickoff: 2026-09-25 23:01 UTC

Final: Brown Bears 10–14 Harvard Crimson

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brown Bears (Local)

Prediction 18.37%5.45fair odd
EV +4.68%
Edge +0.821%
Kelly +0.996%
Growth +0.047%

assuming max odds 5.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.79%18.33%18.35%18.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.285.285.7020.00%18.92%18.96%17.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Harvard Crimson (Visit)

Prediction 81.63%1.22fair odd
EV -3.67%
Edge -3.11%
Kelly -20.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.04%81.67%81.65%83.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.161.171.1889.29%86.06%85.47%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brown Bears (Local): 18.37%; Harvard Crimson (Visit): 81.63%. For Brown Bears (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.45. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.68%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
ReBet🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV +4.68%E +0.821%K +0.996%G +0.047%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -6.12%E -5.32%K -40.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-25 22:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.01%E +0.183%K +0.224%G +0.002%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.12%E -5.32%K -40.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-25 15:29
Bally Bet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -2.67%E -0.503%K -0.620%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.49%E -3.84%K -26.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-25 22:04
BetRivers🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -2.67%E -0.503%K -0.620%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.49%E -3.84%K -26.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-25 22:05
betPARX🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -2.67%E -0.503%K -0.620%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.49%E -3.84%K -26.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-25 22:04
BetMGM🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -3.58%E -0.683%K -0.843%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -3.67%E -3.11%K -20.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-25 22:30
theScore Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -3.58%E -0.683%K -0.843%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -8.57%E -7.65%K -71.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-25 23:00
Fliff🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 18.51%EV -5.42%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.49%EV -4.49%E -3.84%K -26.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-25 22:59
FanDuel🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.34%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.49%E -3.84%K -26.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-25 23:00
Caesars🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.17%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.49%E -3.84%K -26.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-25 17:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.