Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.55
assuming max odds 2.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brown Bears (Local): 62.50%; Bryant Bulldogs (Visit): 37.50%. For Bryant Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.67. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.26%.
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -7.51%E -5.07%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +1.26%E +0.467%K +0.741%G +0.009% | 4.6% | 2026-10-10 14:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.13%E -5.53%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.26%E +0.467%K +0.741%G +0.009% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.13%E -5.53%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.26%E +0.467%K +0.741%G +0.009% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 14:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.13%E -5.53%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.26%E +0.467%K +0.741%G +0.009% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 14:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -9.38%E -6.47%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -2.49%E -0.958%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-10 15:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-10 14:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.96%EV -11.26%E -7.93%K -26.80%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.04%EV -5.49%E -2.18%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-10 15:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 15:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.76%E -2.44%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.99%E -2.82%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 15:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -3.13%E -2.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -7.37%E -2.98%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 14:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -3.76%E -2.44%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -7.37%E -2.98%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 15:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.