The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Austin Peay Governors v Tarleton State Texans

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 23:01 UTC

Final: Austin Peay Governors 32–40 Tarleton State Texans

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Austin Peay Governors (Local)

Prediction 55.44%1.80fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -2.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.26%55.75%55.21%58.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.711.721.7761.73%58.38%58.14%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tarleton State Texans (Visit)

Prediction 44.56%2.24fair odd
EV +1.60%
Edge +0.703%
Kelly +1.25%
Growth +0.020%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.54%44.25%44.79%45.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.142.122.2847.62%46.77%47.17%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Austin Peay Governors (Local): 55.44%; Tarleton State Texans (Visit): 44.56%. For Tarleton State Texans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.28, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.60%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -10.19%E -6.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV +1.60%E +0.703%K +1.25%G +0.020%5.6%2026-10-10 22:54
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.20%E -3.04%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.96%E -0.891%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 22:54
Caesars🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.09%E -2.37%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:53
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.65%E -2.70%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 22:00
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.65%E -2.70%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 14:01
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.65%E -2.70%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 14:00
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.65%E -2.70%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 14:00
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.88%E -1.06%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 19:05
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.20%E -3.04%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 22:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.20%E -3.04%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 14:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.