Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Austin Peay Governors v Eastern Kentucky Colonels

2026-11-07 21:01 UTC — NCAAF FCS

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

87%

13%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Austin Peay Governors (Local)

Prediction 86.53%1.16fair odd

EV -4.82%

Edge -4.38%

Kelly -48.21%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

85.90%86.53%86.53%86.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.091.101.101.1091.74%91.32%91.32%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Eastern Kentucky Colonels (Visit)

Prediction 13.47%7.42fair odd

EV -5.69%

Edge -0.812%

Kelly -0.948%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

13.47%13.47%13.47%14.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

6.706.856.857.0014.93%14.60%14.60%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Austin Peay Governors (Local): 86.53%; Eastern Kentucky Colonels (Visit): 13.47%. For Austin Peay Governors (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.16. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.10, with an expected value of -4.82%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
ReBet🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -4.82%E -4.38%K -48.21%G +0.000%	6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -9.73%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-04 00:10
FanDuel🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.69%E -5.22%K -63.18%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.69%E -0.812%K -0.948%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-03 23:25

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.