Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Albany v New Hampshire Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-08-28 23:04 UTC

Final: Albany 28–14 New Hampshire Wildcats

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Albany (Local)

Prediction 25.18%3.97fair odd
EV +0.713%
Edge +0.178%
Kelly +0.238%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.81%25.14%25.30%26.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.843.804.0027.78%26.04%26.32%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Hampshire Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 74.82%1.34fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -6.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.77%74.86%74.70%76.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.271.261.3181.97%79.00%79.37%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Albany (Local): 25.18%; New Hampshire Wildcats (Visit): 74.82%. For Albany (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.97. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.713%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +0.713%E +0.178%K +0.238%G +0.002%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.72%E -4.54%K -22.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-28 22:10
Bally Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +0.713%E +0.178%K +0.238%G +0.002%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.72%E -4.54%K -22.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-28 22:10
betPARX🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +0.713%E +0.178%K +0.238%G +0.002%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.72%E -4.54%K -22.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-28 22:10
ReBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +0.713%E +0.178%K +0.238%G +0.002%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.72%E -4.54%K -22.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-28 22:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.713%E +0.178%K +0.238%G +0.002%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.47%E -5.18%K -25.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 21:59
Fliff🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.32%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.98%E -3.92%K -18.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 22:45
Caesars🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.32%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.72%E -4.54%K -22.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 21:59
theScore Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -4.32%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.72%E -7.15%K -39.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-28 22:10
BetMGM🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -6.84%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -1.98%E -1.51%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-28 22:50
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.84%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.23%E -3.30%K -15.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 21:55
DraftKings🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 25.81%EV -7.34%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.19%EV -4.23%E -3.30%K -15.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 22:00
BetUS🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.23%E -3.30%K -15.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 22:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.