Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Albany v Delaware State Hornets

2026-10-03 19:31 UTC — NCAAF FCS

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Albany (Local)

Prediction 54.74%1.83fair odd
EV -5.31%
Edge -3.07%
Kelly -7.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.59%54.74%54.74%54.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.731.731.7358.14%57.97%57.97%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Delaware State Hornets (Visit)

Prediction 45.26%2.21fair odd
EV -5.85%
Edge -2.81%
Kelly -5.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.26%45.26%45.26%45.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.082.082.0848.08%48.08%48.08%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Albany (Local): 54.74%; Delaware State Hornets (Visit): 45.26%. For Albany (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.83. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.73, with an expected value of -5.31%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
ReBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.31%E -3.07%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.85%E -2.81%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-30 04:10
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.85%E -3.40%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.85%E -2.81%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-30 03:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.