The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Albany v Delaware State Hornets

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 19:31 UTC

Final: Albany 28–3 Delaware State Hornets

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Albany (Local)

Prediction 54.61%1.83fair odd
EV -3.88%
Edge -2.20%
Kelly -5.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.93%54.75%54.69%55.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.731.741.7658.82%57.66%57.47%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Delaware State Hornets (Visit)

Prediction 45.39%2.20fair odd
EV -1.97%
Edge -0.910%
Kelly -1.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.04%45.25%45.31%46.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.102.102.1648.78%47.67%47.62%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Albany (Local): 54.61%; Delaware State Hornets (Visit): 45.39%. For Delaware State Hornets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.20. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.16, with an expected value of -1.97%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.88%E -2.20%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.50%E -3.16%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-03 16:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.97%E -2.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.69%E -2.23%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 14:25
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.97%E -2.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.69%E -2.23%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-03 16:45
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.97%E -2.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.96%E -3.39%K -6.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-03 19:20
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.97%E -2.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.96%E -3.39%K -6.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-03 16:44
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.52%E -3.19%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.78%E -1.78%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 21:10
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.52%E -3.19%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.78%E -1.78%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 21:29
Bally Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.52%E -3.19%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.78%E -1.78%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-02 03:30
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.16%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.97%E -0.910%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-03 16:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.