Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alabama State Hornets v Southern University Jaguars

2026-08-29 19:00 UTC — NCAAF FCS

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

89%

11%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alabama State Hornets (Local)

Prediction 88.78%1.13fair odd

EV -2.34%

Edge -2.13%

Kelly -23.42%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

87.16%88.77%88.82%89.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.071.081.071.1093.46%92.91%93.46%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Southern University Jaguars (Visit)

Prediction 11.22%8.91fair odd

EV +3.79%

Edge +0.410%

Kelly +0.459%

Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 9.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

10.45%11.23%11.18%12.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

7.408.418.509.2513.51%11.89%11.76%10.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Alabama State Hornets (Local): 88.78%; Southern University Jaguars (Visit): 11.22%. For Southern University Jaguars (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.91. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 9.25, producing a positive expected value of +3.79%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 89.55%EV -4.12%E -3.81%K -51.47%G +0.000%	9.25I 10.81%NM 10.45%EV +3.79%E +0.410%K +0.459%G +0.017%	3.4%	2026-08-28 18:05
BetRivers🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.01%E -4.68%K -71.51%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +0.983%E +0.109%K +0.123%G +0.001%	4.6%	2026-08-28 13:20
Bally Bet🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.01%E -4.68%K -71.51%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +0.983%E +0.109%K +0.123%G +0.001%	4.6%	2026-08-28 14:44
betPARX🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.01%E -4.68%K -71.51%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +0.983%E +0.109%K +0.123%G +0.001%	4.6%	2026-08-28 14:44
Fliff🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.88%EV -5.01%E -4.68%K -71.51%G +0.000%	8.55I 11.70%NM 11.12%EV -4.07%E -0.476%K -0.539%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-28 18:09
DraftKings🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.01%E -4.68%K -71.51%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.63%E -0.544%K -0.617%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-28 13:10
theScore Bet🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.01%E -4.68%K -71.51%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.63%E -0.544%K -0.617%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-28 14:54
Caesars🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.12%E -3.81%K -51.47%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -10.24%E -1.28%K -1.46%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-28 14:30
FanDuel🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 87.94%EV -5.01%E -4.68%K -71.51%G +0.000%	7.80I 12.82%NM 12.06%EV -12.48%E -1.60%K -1.84%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-28 13:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -2.34%E -2.13%K -23.42%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -15.85%E -2.11%K -2.44%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-28 14:50
ReBet🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -3.23%E -2.96%K -35.89%G +0.000%	7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV -16.97%E -2.29%K -2.65%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-28 15:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.