The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Alabama A&M Bulldogs v Tennessee State Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 23:01 UTC

Final: Alabama A&M Bulldogs 30–3 Tennessee State Tigers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alabama A&M Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 42.62%2.35fair odd
EV -3.68%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -2.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.20%42.70%42.58%43.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.232.252.2645.87%44.78%44.44%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tennessee State Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 57.38%1.74fair odd
EV -3.03%
Edge -1.79%
Kelly -4.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.48%57.30%57.42%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.661.661.6960.61%60.13%60.24%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alabama A&M Bulldogs (Local): 42.62%; Tennessee State Tigers (Visit): 57.38%. For Tennessee State Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.74. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.69, with an expected value of -3.03%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -3.68%E -1.63%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -5.32%E -3.23%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 21:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.11%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.03%E -1.79%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-12 22:00
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.11%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 21:15
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.11%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.75%E -2.86%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 17:10
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.11%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.75%E -2.86%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 17:10
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.11%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.75%E -2.86%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 17:10
Caesars🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.53%E -2.02%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.75%E -2.86%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 21:04
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.24%E -2.83%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.32%E -3.23%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 21:59
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.24%E -2.83%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.32%E -3.23%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 20:50
DraftKings🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.09%E -3.25%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.60%E -2.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 20:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.