The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Abilene Christian Wildcats v Mercer Bears

Kickoff: 2026-09-27 00:01 UTC

Final: Abilene Christian Wildcats 17–34 Mercer Bears

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Abilene Christian Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 66.40%1.51fair odd
EV -0.393%
Edge -0.262%
Kelly -0.785%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%65.72%66.51%66.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.441.441.5070.42%69.28%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mercer Bears (Visit)

Prediction 33.60%2.98fair odd
EV -3.25%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.10%34.28%33.49%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.782.802.8840.00%36.01%35.71%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Abilene Christian Wildcats (Local): 66.40%; Mercer Bears (Visit): 33.60%. For Abilene Christian Wildcats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.50, with an expected value of -0.393%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -0.393%E -0.262%K -0.785%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -16.01%E -6.40%K -10.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 19:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.71%E -2.56%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.29%E -3.44%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-26 19:34
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.38%E -3.04%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -3.25%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-26 22:00
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.38%E -3.04%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.93%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-26 18:59
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.38%E -3.04%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.93%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-26 18:58
Bally Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.38%E -3.04%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.93%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-26 18:59
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.04%E -3.53%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -4.59%E -1.62%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 19:00
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.04%E -3.53%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.93%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 00:00
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -3.58%E -1.25%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 22:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.