The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Abilene Christian Wildcats v Central Arkansas Bears

Kickoff: 2026-10-11 00:01 UTC

Final: Abilene Christian Wildcats 20–14 Central Arkansas Bears

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Abilene Christian Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 76.33%1.31fair odd
EV -3.82%
Edge -3.03%
Kelly -14.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.34%76.34%76.28%77.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.241.251.2681.30%80.39%80.32%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Central Arkansas Bears (Visit)

Prediction 23.67%4.23fair odd
EV +0.578%
Edge +0.136%
Kelly +0.178%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.59%23.66%23.72%24.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.084.154.2525.97%24.52%24.10%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Abilene Christian Wildcats (Local): 76.33%; Central Arkansas Bears (Visit): 23.67%. For Central Arkansas Bears (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.23. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.578%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.35%E -4.31%K -22.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +0.578%E +0.136%K +0.178%G +0.001%4.2%2026-10-10 14:20
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.35%E -4.31%K -22.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.605%E -0.144%K -0.189%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 21:15
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.11%E -4.97%K -26.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -0.605%E -0.144%K -0.189%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 14:20
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.11%E -4.97%K -26.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -0.605%E -0.144%K -0.189%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 14:15
Bally Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.11%E -4.97%K -26.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -0.605%E -0.144%K -0.189%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 14:15
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.58%E -3.67%K -18.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.97%E -0.725%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 21:15
Fliff🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.58%E -3.67%K -18.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 23:45
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.92%EV -4.58%E -3.67%K -18.33%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.08%EV -6.76%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 20:05
FanDuel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.82%E -3.03%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.70%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:05
Caesars🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.82%E -3.03%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -8.89%E -2.31%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 20:08
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.