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Abilene Christian Wildcats v Central Arkansas Bears

2026-10-11 00:01 UTC — NCAAF FCS

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Abilene Christian Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 75.76%1.32fair odd
EV -0.758%
Edge -0.578%
Kelly -2.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.32%75.62%75.75%77.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.251.251.3181.30%79.81%80.00%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Central Arkansas Bears (Visit)

Prediction 24.24%4.12fair odd
EV +3.03%
Edge +0.713%
Kelly +0.933%
Growth +0.028%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.59%24.38%24.25%26.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.993.974.2527.78%25.04%25.19%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Abilene Christian Wildcats (Local): 75.76%; Central Arkansas Bears (Visit): 24.24%. For Central Arkansas Bears (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.12. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.25, producing a positive expected value of +3.03%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -6.06%E -4.89%K -25.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +3.03%E +0.713%K +0.933%G +0.028%4.2%2026-10-10 14:20
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.82%E -5.54%K -29.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +1.82%E +0.433%K +0.568%G +0.010%5.1%2026-10-10 14:20
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.82%E -5.54%K -29.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +1.82%E +0.433%K +0.568%G +0.010%5.1%2026-10-10 14:15
Bally Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.82%E -5.54%K -29.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +1.82%E +0.433%K +0.568%G +0.010%5.1%2026-10-10 14:15
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.30%E -4.24%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.03%E -0.757%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:00
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.92%EV -5.30%E -4.24%K -21.21%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.08%EV -4.48%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 20:05
FanDuel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.55%E -3.61%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.45%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:05
Caesars🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.55%E -3.61%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.67%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 20:08
Fliff🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.79%E -2.98%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.88%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 20:04
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -0.758%E -0.578%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -12.73%E -3.54%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 19:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Arbitrage (1 combination) +0.13%BetMGM 1.31 (76.4%) / Hard Rock Bet 4.25 (23.6%)Show details
Abilene Christian Wildcats (Local)Central Arkansas Bears (Visit)Margin
BetMGM🎯 1.31 (76.4%)Hard Rock Bet🎯 4.25 (23.6%)+0.135%