Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wyoming Cowboys v Air Force Falcons

2026-10-24 01:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wyoming Cowboys (Local)

Prediction 31.79%3.15fair odd
EV -1.46%
Edge -0.470%
Kelly -0.693%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.68%31.79%31.00%33.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.963.003.1035.71%33.80%33.33%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Air Force Falcons (Visit)

Prediction 68.21%1.47fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -4.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.43%68.21%69.00%69.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.361.361.4475.76%73.53%73.53%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Wyoming Cowboys (Local): 31.79%; Air Force Falcons (Visit): 68.21%. For Wyoming Cowboys (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.15. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.10, with an expected value of -1.46%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.46%E -0.470%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.87%E -4.25%K -15.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-18 05:10
Unibet (UK)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.05%E -0.998%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.55%E -4.78%K -17.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 05:14
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -3.05%E -0.998%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.91%E -5.86%K -22.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 05:10
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.63%E -1.54%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.23%E -5.32%K -20.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 05:05
ReBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.63%E -1.54%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.23%E -5.32%K -20.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 05:15
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -7.81%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.56%EV -9.28%E -6.98%K -28.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-18 05:20
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -8.45%E -2.93%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.41%EV -9.28%E -6.98%K -28.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-18 05:10
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -9.40%E -3.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -1.78%E -1.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-18 07:24
picklebet_au🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.99%E -3.93%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 67.96%EV -9.96%E -7.55%K -31.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-18 05:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%2.0%2026-10-18 07:15
Novig◎3.03I 33.00%NM 32.06%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.94%2.9%2026-10-18 07:35
Polymarket◎2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.28%3.9%2026-10-18 07:25