The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Wisconsin Badgers v Michigan State Spartans

2026-10-03 16:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wisconsin Badgers (Local)

Prediction 75.45%1.33fair odd
EV -3.43%
Edge -2.68%
Kelly -12.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.95%75.61%75.45%76.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.241.231.2881.97%80.58%81.30%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Michigan State Spartans (Visit)

Prediction 24.55%4.07fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -0.446%
Kelly -0.595%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.37%24.39%24.55%25.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.863.834.0026.67%25.91%26.14%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Wisconsin Badgers (Local): 75.45%; Michigan State Spartans (Visit): 24.55%. For Michigan State Spartans (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.07. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.00, with an expected value of -1.79%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -3.43%E -2.68%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -5.47%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 05:35
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.18%E -3.29%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.47%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 05:30
Fliff🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.18%E -3.29%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 05:30
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.69%E -4.55%K -22.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.92%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-27 05:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.20%E -5.85%K -31.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -1.79%E -0.446%K -0.595%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-27 06:35
ReBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -7.20%E -5.85%K -31.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -3.01%E -0.763%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-27 06:40
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.96%E -6.52%K -36.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.79%E -0.446%K -0.595%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-27 06:35
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.96%E -6.52%K -36.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-27 05:40
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.96%E -6.52%K -36.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-27 06:33
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.96%E -6.52%K -36.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-27 06:33
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%6.0%2026-09-27 06:40