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Western Michigan Broncos v Boise State Broncos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Western Michigan Broncos (Local)
Prediction 27.05%3.70fair odd
EV +0.094%
Edge +0.025%
Kelly +0.035%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.70%27.06%27.08%29.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.503.553.7030.30%28.60%28.17%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boise State Broncos (Visit)
Prediction 72.95%1.37fair odd
EV -0.791%
Edge -0.582%
Kelly -2.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.82%72.94%72.92%74.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.311.301.3678.13%76.55%76.92%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Western Michigan Broncos (Local): 27.05%; Boise State Broncos (Visit): 72.95%. For Western Michigan Broncos (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.697. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.700, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.094%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.094%E +0.025%K +0.035%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.63%E -5.18%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-26 19:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.67%EV -1.80%E -0.496%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.33%EV -3.71%E -2.81%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-26 19:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.61%E -0.725%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.44%E -3.39%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-26 18:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.61%E -0.725%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.44%E -3.39%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-26 19:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.61%E -0.725%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.90%E -4.57%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 18:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.94%EV -3.15%E -0.880%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.06%EV -3.71%E -2.81%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-26 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.05%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.95%EV -3.71%E -2.81%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-26 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.05%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.95%EV -3.71%E -2.81%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-26 18:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -3.96%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.71%E -2.81%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-26 19:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -3.96%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.44%E -3.39%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-26 18:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.96%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.17%E -3.98%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 19:03 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.96%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.17%E -3.98%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.96%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.17%E -3.98%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 18:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.96%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.17%E -3.98%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.96%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.17%E -3.98%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 18:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.96%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.17%E -3.98%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 18:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.96%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.17%E -3.98%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.96%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.17%E -3.98%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 18:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.96%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.90%E -4.57%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-26 18:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.96%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.90%E -4.57%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-26 18:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -3.96%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.63%E -5.18%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-26 19:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -2.98%E -2.24%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-26 18:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.44%E -3.39%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-26 18:57 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.17%E -3.98%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-26 19:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.17%E -3.98%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-26 19:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.16%EV -6.40%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.84%EV -5.90%E -4.57%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-26 18:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.44%E -3.39%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 19:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.17%E -3.98%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-26 19:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.63%E -5.18%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-26 18:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.25%E -1.68%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-26 18:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.71%E -2.81%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-26 19:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.71%E -2.81%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-26 19:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.17%E -3.98%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-26 19:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.98%E -2.24%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-26 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.71%E -2.81%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 19:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.71%E -2.81%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 18:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -0.791%E -0.582%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-26 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.63%E -5.18%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-26 18:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.63%E -5.18%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-26 18:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 0.9% | 2026-09-26 19:20 |
| Novig◎ | 3.64I 27.47%NM 27.20% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.80% | 1.0% | 2026-09-26 19:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.00% | 1.5% | 2026-09-26 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.00% | 1.5% | 2026-09-26 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.00% | 1.5% | 2026-09-26 19:05 |