Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Western Michigan Broncos v Boise State Broncos

2026-09-26 16:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Western Michigan Broncos (Local)

Prediction 28.27%3.54fair odd
EV -3.88%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -1.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.27%28.27%28.27%28.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.403.403.4029.41%29.41%29.41%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Boise State Broncos (Visit)

Prediction 71.73%1.39fair odd
EV -3.88%
Edge -2.90%
Kelly -11.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.73%71.73%71.73%71.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.341.341.3474.63%74.63%74.63%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Western Michigan Broncos (Local): 28.27%; Boise State Broncos (Visit): 71.73%. For Western Michigan Broncos (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.54. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.40, with an expected value of -3.88%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.88%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.88%E -2.90%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-16 22:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.