Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Virginia Mountaineers v Cincinnati Bearcats

2026-10-17 16:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Virginia Mountaineers (Local)

Prediction 54.63%1.83fair odd
EV -3.84%
Edge -2.18%
Kelly -5.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.23%54.77%54.58%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.721.731.7659.88%58.07%57.80%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cincinnati Bearcats (Visit)

Prediction 45.37%2.20fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -2.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%45.23%45.42%45.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.072.082.1550.00%48.26%48.08%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: West Virginia Mountaineers (Local): 54.63%; Cincinnati Bearcats (Visit): 45.37%. For Cincinnati Bearcats (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.20. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.15, with an expected value of -2.46%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.84%E -2.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-11 06:05
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-11 07:35
Bet Right🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 07:35
Betsson🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.19%E -2.48%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 07:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 07:35
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 07:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.64%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 06:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-11 07:34
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.03%E -3.51%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -6.09%E -2.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-11 07:33
ReBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.03%E -3.51%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-11 06:35
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -6.03%E -3.51%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -7.45%E -3.65%K -7.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-11 06:05
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.57%E -3.85%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.46%E -1.15%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 07:10
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-11 06:10
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -8.21%E -4.89%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -9.27%E -4.63%K -9.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-11 06:15
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.76%E -5.25%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -9.27%E -4.63%K -9.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-11 06:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%6.2%2026-10-11 07:50
Polymarket◎1.69I 59.17%NM 55.17%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.83%7.2%2026-10-11 07:15
Novig◎1.69I 59.17%NM 54.69%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.31%8.2%2026-10-11 07:15