Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Virginia Mountaineers v Cincinnati Bearcats

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 16:00 UTC

Final: West Virginia Mountaineers 45–42 Cincinnati Bearcats

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Virginia Mountaineers (Local)

Prediction 52.40%1.91fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -2.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%52.43%52.49%54.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.811.811.8757.80%55.33%55.25%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cincinnati Bearcats (Visit)

Prediction 47.60%2.10fair odd
EV -0.517%
Edge -0.248%
Kelly -0.475%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.99%47.57%47.51%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.002.002.0952.36%50.09%50.00%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Virginia Mountaineers (Local): 52.40%; Cincinnati Bearcats (Visit): 47.60%. For Cincinnati Bearcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.10. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.09, with an expected value of -0.517%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.01%E -1.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.85%E -1.91%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-17 15:30
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.01%E -1.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.18%E -3.68%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-17 13:50
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.06%E -1.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.75%E -2.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-17 15:30
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.24%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-17 15:44
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.24%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-17 12:19
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.24%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-17 15:19
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.24%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-17 12:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -4.11%E -2.24%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -8.13%E -4.21%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 15:30
ReBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.63%E -2.54%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.90%E -1.42%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-17 15:05
DraftKings🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.63%E -2.54%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.85%E -1.91%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-14 18:39
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.63%E -2.54%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-17 15:30
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.63%E -2.54%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-17 15:30
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.63%E -2.54%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.75%E -2.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-17 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.63%E -2.54%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.75%E -2.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-17 15:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.15%E -2.85%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.85%E -1.91%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-17 11:44
Betsson🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.15%E -2.85%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-17 15:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.15%E -2.85%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-17 14:05
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.15%E -2.85%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-17 14:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.15%E -2.85%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-17 14:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.15%E -2.85%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-17 14:05
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.15%E -2.85%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-17 14:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.15%E -2.85%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-17 14:05
Bally Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.15%E -2.85%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-17 14:05
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.15%E -2.85%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -6.23%E -3.16%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -5.15%E -2.85%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -6.71%E -3.42%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 14:05
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -5.68%E -3.15%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -1.47%E -0.710%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-14 19:54
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.68%E -3.15%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.42%E -1.18%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-14 19:10
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.68%E -3.15%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.42%E -1.18%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-17 14:50
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.68%E -3.15%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.42%E -1.18%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-17 14:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.68%E -3.15%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.85%E -1.91%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.68%E -3.15%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-17 08:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.68%E -3.15%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-17 14:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.68%E -3.15%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-17 06:10
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.68%E -3.15%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 00:48
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.68%E -3.15%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.18%E -3.68%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.68%E -3.15%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.18%E -3.68%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 15:45
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.68%E -3.15%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.18%E -3.68%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 15:46
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.68%E -3.15%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.18%E -3.68%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 15:48
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.68%E -3.15%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.18%E -3.68%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 15:20
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -5.68%E -3.15%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -8.13%E -4.21%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-17 15:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -6.20%E -3.47%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.28%E -2.65%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 14:55
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -6.20%E -3.47%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -5.75%E -2.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 15:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -6.73%E -3.78%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -0.517%E -0.248%K -0.475%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-17 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -6.73%E -3.78%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -0.517%E -0.248%K -0.475%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-17 15:54
picklebet_au🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.73%E -3.78%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 15:04
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.35%E -5.40%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-17 08:20
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.47%EV -9.35%E -5.40%K -12.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.53%EV -9.09%E -4.76%K -9.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-13 11:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-10-17 15:50
ProphetX◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-10-17 15:50
Polymarket◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-10-16 04:05
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-10-16 04:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-10-17 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-10-17 15:55
Matchbook◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-10-17 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-10-17 15:55