Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Virginia Mountaineers v Arizona Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 16:00 UTC

Final: West Virginia Mountaineers 31–52 Arizona Wildcats

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Virginia Mountaineers (Local)

Prediction 39.69%2.52fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -0.628%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.05%39.69%39.68%40.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.392.402.4844.44%41.80%41.67%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 60.31%1.66fair odd
EV -2.91%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -4.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.34%60.31%60.32%60.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.581.571.6165.36%63.35%63.69%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Virginia Mountaineers (Local): 39.69%; Arizona Wildcats (Visit): 60.31%. For West Virginia Mountaineers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.48, with an expected value of -1.56%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -1.56%E -0.628%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%EV -4.11%E -2.59%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-10 15:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.75%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.91%E -1.81%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-10 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.75%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.91%E -1.81%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-10 15:04
BetAnything🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.75%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.91%E -1.81%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-10 15:45
Everygame🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.75%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.91%E -1.81%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-10 15:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.75%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.11%E -2.59%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-10 14:40
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.75%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.11%E -2.59%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-05 14:05
GTbets🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.75%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.11%E -2.59%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-10 15:45
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.75%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.75%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 15:25
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.75%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 15:23
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.75%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 15:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.54%E -1.46%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 14:40
Bally Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.54%E -1.46%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 14:40
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.54%E -1.46%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 14:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.54%E -1.46%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 14:40
BetUS🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -3.94%E -1.63%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -2.91%E -1.81%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-10 15:10
Caesars🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.94%E -1.63%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.11%E -2.59%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 15:49
ReBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -4.34%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -3.51%E -2.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-10 15:25
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.91%E -1.81%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-10 15:24
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.11%E -2.59%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 15:34
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 15:44
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 15:45
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 15:45
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 15:24
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 15:24
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 15:39
MyBookie.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.13%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 15:29
FanDuel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.53%E -2.32%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.51%E -2.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 15:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.53%E -2.32%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 15:31
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.53%E -2.32%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 15:45
NordicBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.32%E -2.68%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -5.92%E -3.80%K -10.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 15:45
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.91%E -1.81%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-10 15:35
TAB🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 15:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 15:45
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 14:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 14:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 14:40
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 15:55
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -7.51%E -3.22%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -7.51%E -3.22%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 14:50
SportsBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -7.51%E -3.22%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -5.92%E -3.80%K -10.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 15:48
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 15:35
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.53%E -4.21%K -11.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-10 15:29
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -10.69%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.73%E -5.05%K -14.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-10 15:40
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -10.69%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.73%E -5.05%K -14.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-10 15:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-10-10 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%0.9%2026-10-10 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%0.9%2026-10-10 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%0.9%2026-10-10 15:55
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-10-10 14:01
Novig◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-10-10 15:55
Polymarket◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-10-10 14:01
ProphetX◎2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.0%2026-10-10 15:55