Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington State Cougars v Duquesne Dukes

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 19:30 UTC

Final: Washington State Cougars 48–7 Duquesne Dukes

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington State Cougars (Local)

Prediction 98.08%1.02fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly +0.000%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
98.08%98.08%98.08%98.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.001.001.00100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Duquesne Dukes (Visit)

Prediction 1.92%52.00fair odd
EV +28.85%
Edge +0.431%
Kelly +0.437%
Growth +0.126%

assuming max odds 67.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
1.47%1.92%1.92%1.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
51.0061.6767.0067.001.96%1.62%1.49%1.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington State Cougars (Local): 98.08%; Duquesne Dukes (Visit): 1.92%. For Duquesne Dukes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 52.00. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 67.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +28.85%.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Coral🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.53%EV -1.92%E -1.92%K +0.000%G +0.000%67.00I 1.49%NM 1.47%EV +28.85%E +0.431%K +0.437%G +0.126%1.5%2026-09-19 19:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.53%EV -1.92%E -1.92%K +0.000%G +0.000%67.00I 1.49%NM 1.47%EV +28.85%E +0.431%K +0.437%G +0.126%1.5%2026-09-19 19:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.08%EV -1.92%E -1.92%K +0.000%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.92%EV -1.92%E -0.038%K -0.038%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-15 19:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.