Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington State Cougars v Arizona Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 23:42 UTC

Final: Washington State Cougars 24–34 Arizona Wildcats

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington State Cougars (Local)

Prediction 21.80%4.59fair odd
EV +4.41%
Edge +0.920%
Kelly +1.16%
Growth +0.051%

assuming max odds 4.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.17%21.69%21.90%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.244.244.7925.00%23.57%23.58%20.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 78.20%1.28fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -8.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.19%78.31%78.10%79.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.221.231.2584.75%81.70%81.30%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington State Cougars (Local): 21.80%; Arizona Wildcats (Visit): 78.20%. For Washington State Cougars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.59. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.79, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.41%.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯4.79I 20.88%NM 20.17%EV +4.41%E +0.920%K +1.16%G +0.051%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.83%EV -5.37%E -4.44%K -25.59%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-26 23:25
theScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.266%E +0.058%K +0.074%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.16%E -5.13%K -30.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 23:14
Bovada🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.266%E +0.058%K +0.074%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.16%E -5.13%K -30.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 23:10
FanDuel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.91%E -0.425%K -0.547%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.59%E -3.76%K -20.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-26 23:15
Marathon Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -1.91%E -0.425%K -0.547%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.94%E -5.83%K -36.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-26 23:15
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -1.91%E -0.425%K -0.547%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.72%E -6.54%K -42.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-26 23:34
Caesars🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.09%E -0.930%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.81%E -3.10%K -16.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-26 23:35
MyBookie.ag🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.18%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.59%E -3.76%K -20.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 23:35
Unibet (UK)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.18%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.59%E -3.76%K -20.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 23:20
LowVig.ag🎯4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -5.40%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -3.03%E -2.44%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-26 23:20
BetOnline.ag🎯4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -5.40%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -3.03%E -2.44%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-26 23:20
BetMGM🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 22.26%EV -5.62%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.74%EV -3.03%E -2.44%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-26 23:20
BetUS🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 22.26%EV -5.62%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.74%EV -3.03%E -2.44%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-26 23:20
DraftKings🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -6.27%E -1.46%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.03%E -2.44%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-26 23:09
Coolbet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.27%E -1.46%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.59%E -3.76%K -20.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-26 23:14
GTbets🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -7.36%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.03%E -2.44%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-26 23:09
BetAnything🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -7.36%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.03%E -2.44%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-26 23:20
Betsson🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.36%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.59%E -3.76%K -20.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-26 23:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.36%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.37%E -4.44%K -25.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-26 23:34
SportsBet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.36%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.16%E -5.13%K -30.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-26 23:14
NordicBet🎯4.23I 23.64%NM 22.24%EV -7.80%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.76%EV -5.37%E -4.44%K -25.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-26 23:35
Bally Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -8.45%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.03%E -2.44%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-26 15:25
ATG (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -8.45%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.03%E -2.44%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-26 15:30
Svenska Spel🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -8.45%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.03%E -2.44%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-26 15:30
betPARX🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -8.45%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.03%E -2.44%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-26 15:30
LeoVegas🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.45%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.59%E -3.76%K -20.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-26 23:25
Unibet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -10.63%E -2.59%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.81%E -3.10%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-23 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -10.63%E -2.59%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.81%E -3.10%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-23 16:54
BetRivers🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -10.63%E -2.59%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.81%E -3.10%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-23 16:55
Unibet (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -10.63%E -2.59%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.81%E -3.10%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-23 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -10.63%E -2.59%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.81%E -3.10%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-23 16:55
Fliff🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -10.63%E -2.59%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.37%E -4.44%K -25.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-26 23:35
betano_uk🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.63%E -2.59%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.16%E -5.13%K -30.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-26 23:38
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.81%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.25%E -1.80%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-21 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.81%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.03%E -2.44%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-26 23:20
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.81%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.03%E -2.44%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-26 23:20
Dabble (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.81%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.03%E -2.44%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-26 23:09
TAB🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.81%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.03%E -2.44%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-22 05:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.81%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.16%E -5.13%K -30.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-26 23:14
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.81%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.16%E -5.13%K -30.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-26 23:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎4.85I 20.62%NM 20.49%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.51%0.6%2026-09-26 23:40
Novig◎3.57I 28.01%NM 24.52%1.16I 86.21%NM 75.48%14.2%2026-09-26 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-09-26 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-09-26 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-09-26 23:35