Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Huskies v Iowa Hawkeyes

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC

Final: Washington Huskies 24–41 Iowa Hawkeyes

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Huskies (Local)

Prediction 56.01%1.79fair odd
EV +4.74%
Edge +2.53%
Kelly +5.44%
Growth +0.258%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.53%55.96%55.96%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.711.701.8760.61%58.36%58.82%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit)

Prediction 43.99%2.27fair odd
EV -1.02%
Edge -0.453%
Kelly -0.815%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%44.04%44.04%49.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.132.142.2552.36%46.92%46.73%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Huskies (Local): 56.01%; Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit): 43.99%. For Washington Huskies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.79. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.87, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.74%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV +4.74%E +2.53%K +5.44%G +0.258%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -15.98%E -8.36%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-02 03:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -0.866%E -0.489%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-05 01:15
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -0.866%E -0.489%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -8.50%E -4.09%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 12:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -0.866%E -0.489%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -8.50%E -4.09%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 12:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -0.866%E -0.489%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -8.50%E -4.09%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 12:25
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -0.866%E -0.489%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -8.50%E -4.09%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 12:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -1.43%E -0.810%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -8.94%E -4.32%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 12:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -1.43%E -0.810%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -8.94%E -4.32%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 12:25
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -1.43%E -0.810%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -8.94%E -4.32%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 12:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -1.99%E -1.13%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -9.38%E -4.55%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-05 12:25
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -1.99%E -1.13%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -9.38%E -4.55%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-05 12:25
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.55%E -1.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-05 13:05
FanDuel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.11%E -1.80%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.86%E -2.74%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-05 13:05
Caesars🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.67%E -2.13%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.54%E -2.09%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-05 00:44
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.67%E -2.13%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-05 13:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.67%E -2.13%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-05 13:05
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.23%E -2.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.22%E -1.46%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-05 01:50
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.23%E -2.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-05 01:50
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.79%E -2.82%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-05 01:50
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.79%E -2.82%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.54%E -2.09%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-05 10:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.79%E -2.82%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 00:50
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.79%E -2.82%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 01:55
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.79%E -2.82%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 00:20
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.79%E -2.82%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 11:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.35%E -3.16%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.02%E -0.453%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-05 14:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.35%E -3.16%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.02%E -0.453%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-05 14:30
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.35%E -3.16%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.02%E -0.453%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-05 14:30
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.35%E -3.16%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.22%E -1.46%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 12:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.35%E -3.16%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.10%E -1.88%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-05 12:01
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.35%E -3.16%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.54%E -2.09%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 10:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.64%EV -5.35%E -3.16%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.36%EV -6.74%E -3.18%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-05 12:24
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.17%EV -5.35%E -3.16%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.83%EV -8.50%E -4.09%K -7.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-05 13:05
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.91%E -3.52%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -1.46%E -0.651%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-05 01:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.91%E -3.52%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 15:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.91%E -3.52%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 11:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.47%E -3.87%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-05 11:55
NordicBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -6.47%E -3.87%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -5.86%E -2.74%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-05 10:30
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.47%E -3.87%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-05 12:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.47%E -3.87%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-05 01:49
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.47%E -3.87%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-05 01:50
ReBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.20%EV -7.03%E -4.23%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.80%EV -6.30%E -2.96%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-05 11:54
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-05 11:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.44%-0.2%2026-10-05 02:00
Novig◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%0.6%2026-10-05 13:35
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-10-05 12:20
ProphetX◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.11%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.89%1.3%2026-10-05 14:05
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-10-05 12:40