Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Tech Hokies v VMI Keydets

Kickoff: 2026-09-05 23:35 UTC

Final: Virginia Tech Hokies 73–3 VMI Keydets

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Tech Hokies (Local)

Prediction 98.55%1.01fair odd
EV -0.466%
Edge -0.462%
Kelly -46.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
93.38%98.55%98.55%99.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.001.001.01100.00%99.75%100.00%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

VMI Keydets (Visit)

Prediction 1.45%68.88fair odd
EV +82.92%
Edge +0.658%
Kelly +0.663%
Growth +0.550%

assuming max odds 126.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
0.79%1.45%1.45%6.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
14.2573.0676.00126.007.02%1.37%1.32%0.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virginia Tech Hokies (Local): 98.55%; VMI Keydets (Visit): 1.45%. For VMI Keydets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 68.88. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 126.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +82.92%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 99.21%EV -1.45%E -1.45%K +0.000%G +0.000%126.00I 0.79%NM 0.79%EV +82.92%E +0.658%K +0.663%G +0.550%0.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Betsson🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 99.02%EV -1.45%E -1.45%K +0.000%G +0.000%101.00I 0.99%NM 0.98%EV +46.63%E +0.462%K +0.466%G +0.217%1.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.08%EV -1.45%E -1.45%K +0.000%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.92%EV -25.96%E -0.509%K -0.519%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -0.466%E -0.462%K -46.63%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -79.31%E -5.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 02:43
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.00I 100.00%NM 99.01%100.00I 1.00%NM 0.99%1.0%2026-08-28 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-09-01 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-09-01 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-09-01 20:55